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Know Your Numbers Before You Discount

How Many Units Do You
Need to Sell?

Most Shopify merchants guess their break-even point — and get it wrong. Find yours in seconds, see how discounts change it, and protect your profit.

Free tool · No sign-up · Results in 5 seconds

Built by DealCraft — Shopify discount specialists

Your Store Economics

Enter your costs and pricing to find your break-even point

$

Rent, salaries, software, marketing

$

Average selling price

$

COGS: product cost + shipping + packaging

Units sold per month

0% off
Base Margin: 60%Contribution Margin: $30.00/unit

Projections are estimates based on your inputs. Actual results vary by store, product mix, and market conditions. Fixed costs should include all expenses that don't change with sales volume.

44%

Safe

You need 167 sales/month to break even

Your store has a healthy buffer above break-even. Focus on scaling marketing to grow profits.

Break-Even Units

167

units/month

Break-Even Revenue

$8,350

per month

Current monthly profit:

+$4,000

at 300 units/month

Reach break-even with room to spare

You're 44% above break-even. DealCraft helps you protect that buffer while growing:

Volume Tier Discounts

"Buy 3+, save 15%" — incentivize larger orders to reach 167 units faster without discounting single items.

BOGO for Slow Movers

Clear dead stock with Buy-One-Get-One deals that don't erode margins on your bestsellers.

Min-Purchase Thresholds

Set minimum order values so discounts only apply when the cart is already profitable.

Profit at Different Sales Volumes

See how profit changes as you sell more units. The red line is break-even.

0 units
-$5,000
75 units
-$2,750
150 units
-$500
Break-even
225 units
+$1,750
300 units
+$4,000
You
375 units
+$6,250
450 units
+$8,500
525 units
+$10,750
600 units
+$13,000
Break-even point (167 units)Your current sales (300 units)

Share your Break-Even Score

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Know your numbers before you discount

Run Discounts That Stay Profitable

Now that you know your break-even, set up discount rules that never sell below cost:

Min-purchase guards — discounts only apply when cart covers your $8,350/mo break-even
Volume tiers — "Buy 3+ save 15%" pushes customers past break-even volume
Auto-scheduling — run flash sales only during high-traffic hours to maximize volume lift
Install DealCraft — It's Free
Free plan: 3 rulesNo credit card2-minute setup

Understanding Your Break-Even Point

Break-even analysis is the foundation of profitable pricing. Master these concepts to make better business decisions.

Fixed vs Variable Costs

Fixed costs stay the same regardless of sales (rent, software, salaries). Variable costs change with each unit sold (product cost, shipping, packaging). Your break-even point is where total revenue covers both types.

Contribution Margin

This is the money each unit contributes toward covering fixed costs. Formula: Price - Variable Cost. If you sell a product for $50 with $20 in variable costs, each sale contributes $30 toward your fixed costs.

Margin of Safety

Measures how far your current sales are above break-even. A 40% margin means you can afford a 40% sales drop before losing money. Below 20% is dangerous — one bad month puts you in the red.

Discount Impact

Every discount raises your break-even point. A 20% discount doesn't just reduce profit — it forces you to sell more units to cover the same costs. Always calculate the volume lift needed before running a promotion.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is break-even analysis for a Shopify store?

Break-even analysis calculates the minimum number of units you need to sell to cover all your costs (both fixed and variable). For a Shopify store, fixed costs include rent, software subscriptions, and salaries. Variable costs include product cost, shipping, and packaging. The formula is: Break-Even Units = Fixed Costs / (Price - Variable Cost per Unit).

How do discounts affect my break-even point?

Discounts reduce your effective selling price, which lowers your contribution margin (price minus variable cost). This means you need to sell more units to cover the same fixed costs. For example, if your break-even is 200 units at full price, a 20% discount might push it to 250 units. Use the analyzer above to see the exact impact for your store.

What is margin of safety in e-commerce?

Margin of safety measures how far your current sales are above the break-even point. It's calculated as: (Current Sales - Break-Even Sales) / Current Sales × 100%. A margin of safety above 40% is healthy, 20-40% is moderate, and below 20% means you're at risk of losing money if sales dip.

What costs should I include in break-even calculation?

Fixed costs: rent, salaries, software subscriptions (Shopify plan, apps), insurance, marketing retainers, utilities. Variable costs per unit: product cost (COGS), shipping, packaging, payment processing fees, sales tax. Don't include one-time expenses like equipment purchases — those are capital expenses, not operating costs.

How often should I run a break-even analysis?

Run a break-even analysis when: (1) launching a new product, (2) changing prices, (3) planning a discount campaign, (4) hiring or expanding, (5) quarterly as part of financial review. Your break-even point changes whenever costs or prices change, so regular checks ensure you stay profitable.

Learn More About Profitability

Ready to Protect Your Margins?

DealCraft helps you create smart discount rules with full visibility into your margins. Never sell below break-even again.

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Complete Your Profit Diagnosis

You know your break-even — now set the right price and understand your customer value.